Premier League 2023/24 Teams with Low xG but Clinical Finishing: Signs of Overperformance
In 2023/24, a cluster of Premier League teams scored notably more goals than their underlying chance quality implied, turning modest xG numbers into impressive attacking returns. Statistically, these sides fall into the “low xG, sharp finishing” category, and that profile often triggers the question of whether their form is genuinely sustainable or drifting into overperformance…